{"id":218,"date":"2006-06-02T18:28:06","date_gmt":"2006-06-02T17:28:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.leapfrog.nl\/archives\/2006\/06\/02\/rough-notes-from-robert-willim-im-taking-a-ride-curve-surfing-and-speed-mania\/"},"modified":"2008-07-22T21:40:28","modified_gmt":"2008-07-22T19:40:28","slug":"rough-notes-from-robert-willim-im-taking-a-ride-curve-surfing-and-speed-mania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/archives\/2006\/06\/02\/rough-notes-from-robert-willim-im-taking-a-ride-curve-surfing-and-speed-mania\/","title":{"rendered":"Rough notes from Robert Willim &#8211; I&#8217;m taking a ride &#8211; curve surfing and speed mania"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hard to start after Doc&#8217;s talk.<\/p>\n<p>Ph.D. on Framfab. And on new economy and dot com boom and bust.<\/p>\n<p>What happened back then? To see if there are any similarities&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Open question<\/p>\n<p>How do we predict twists of history?<\/p>\n<p>How do we make sense in heated times?<\/p>\n<p>Framfab:<\/p>\n<p>Started 5, at top it was 2000.<\/p>\n<p>He made a ethnographic study of their office and looked at the software called Bricks.<\/p>\n<p>Envisioning \/ claiming \/ creating the future &#8211; the future factory<\/p>\n<p>CEO is good visionary<\/p>\n<p>Communicate vision through spatial metaphors<\/p>\n<p>Ex. virtual land grab, idea of pioneers and movers<\/p>\n<p>Other: curve surfing &#8211; s-curve often used to graph innovation.<\/p>\n<p>Web 2.0: how can you tell where you are on the curve? Mentally you can surf the curve.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s like traveling on a train track. Technological determinism. It&#8217;s not that easy, society is much more complex, tech isn&#8217;t the only driving force. It has to do with what we use it for.<\/p>\n<p>What are visions? <\/p>\n<p>Conjuring, making a future tangible. <\/p>\n<p>One way is to extrapolate trends through curve surfing. This is quite simplistic. <\/p>\n<p>E.g. thinking about bridge between Denmark and Sweden in 1930ies.<\/p>\n<p>Other ex.: thinking on computers in 1980ies &#8211; people will become robots.<\/p>\n<p>Vaporware: locking a consumer&#8217;s mind. E.g. MacBook vs. PowerBook.<\/p>\n<p>Speed mania, when speed is seen as inherently positive<\/p>\n<p>First mover advantage, escape velocity<\/p>\n<p>The supremacy of speed was idea behind Framfab<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;conceptual congruity?<\/p>\n<p>Flow \/ reflexivity<\/p>\n<p>Go with the flow&#8230; but where are we going? (Good one!)<\/p>\n<p>People during dotcom boom were reflexive, but still they didn&#8217;t see it coming?<\/p>\n<p>Back to the two questions&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>How to find twists of history?<\/p>\n<p>Book on 404 &#8211; lack of memory on internet. SS19 missiles in USSR: after cold war they&#8217;re still made but now to launch satellites. Nice example of reappropriation of existing tech.<\/p>\n<p>Making sense in heated times?<\/p>\n<p>When do collectives become intelligent and when do they go stupid? <\/p>\n<p>Recommendations: keep ties loose, have a diverse collective<\/p>\n<p>Ending&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Q Do you see a bubble 2.0? How does it compare to the first one?\nA It&#8217;s much harder to get that amount of money. Financial market is different now. Focus is on product itself. Older companies aren&#8217;t easily cheated by web people.  <\/p>\n<p>Q Does he see any rhetoric trends?\nA Idea of tech determinism is still there. In a way tech is the start, but it doesn&#8217;t happen automatically. <\/p>\n<p>Q It seems that bubbles are necessary for evolution. Revolution has already happened. We&#8217;re at the forefront. Which is nice.\nA Back then the rhetoric had bad timing.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/reboot.dk\/wiki\/I%27m_taking_a_ride_-_curve_surfing_and_speed_maniaThe\"><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/reboot.dk\/wiki\/I%27m_taking_a_ride_-_curve_surfing_and_speed_maniaThe\">http:\/\/reboot.dk\/wiki\/I%27m_taking_a_ride_-_curve_surfing_and_speed_maniaThe<\/a> <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hard to start after Doc&#8217;s talk. Ph.D. on Framfab. And on new economy and dot com boom and bust. What happened back then? To see if there are any similarities&#8230; Open question How do we predict twists of history? How do we make sense in heated times? Framfab: Started 5, at top it was 2000. &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/archives\/2006\/06\/02\/rough-notes-from-robert-willim-im-taking-a-ride-curve-surfing-and-speed-mania\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Rough notes from Robert Willim &#8211; I&#8217;m taking a ride &#8211; curve surfing and speed mania<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[625],"tags":[185,184,186,187,15,188,183,141],"class_list":["post-218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles","tag-boom","tag-bubble","tag-bust","tag-dotcom","tag-events","tag-framfab","tag-hype","tag-reboot-8"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=218"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leapfrog.nl\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}